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2014 » Papers » Volume 2 » RESHAPING THE KANTIAN PEACE THROUGH NEURAL NETWORKS AND COPENHAGEN SECURITY MODEL 1. RESHAPING THE KANTIAN PEACE THROUGH NEURAL NETWORKS AND COPENHAGEN SECURITY MODEL Authors: Grigoras Razvan, Mustata Adi-Marinel Volume 2 | DOI: 10.12753/2066-026X-14-085 | Pages: 208-216 | Download PDF | Abstract
When studying the military leaders' behavior, we observe that the problem of prediction transformed their work in a Sisyphus one. The lack of knowing the future, especially in the field of states' behavior, represents a major problem for the military decision makers. In this article one will not use the prediction methods to generate possible futures, but will use it in order to analyze if the predictions methods are still a living concept. We asked whether the use of these methods could be a solution with encouraging results in developing military leaders competencies. In order to validate this hypothesis one tried to bind the decision types with neural networks and with military leaders behavior, thus creating a holist course consisting of variables united by a fitting problem. These elements could indicate one through a scientific approach if the prediction methods are really important for nowadays society. One used some methods which are widely spread in the international academic community in order to obtain the leaders decisions. Of course, it was shown that the behavior of the military leaders is connected with the approval of some prediction methods. We argue that the state of security is described by some patterns. These patterns could indicate us, through a scientific approach, if the insecurity is inherent. The paper mainly refers to Tangredi, Kahn and Schwartz analysis from this field. It tries to emphasize the importance of the scenarios and neural networks in security. Finally, the paper tried to emphasize the importance of prediction in the field of security. | Keywords
prediction, foresight, scenario, estimation, security |
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