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2014 » Papers » Volume 2 » Predictability possibilities based on mathematical models of conflict situations 1. PREDICTABILITY POSSIBILITIES BASED ON MATHEMATICAL MODELS OF CONFLICT SITUATIONS Authors: Dinicu Anca, Oancea Romana Volume 2 | DOI: 10.12753/2066-026X-14-073 | Pages: 133-136 | Download PDF | Abstract
The mathematical models of decision-making process related to conflict situations are possible to be designed with the help of the "lessons learned" taught us by the history of the last two decades and by approaching in a much wider frame of a multicriterial data bases concerning security features. Thus, every model must be created depending on the characteristics of the geopolitical region which is analyzed according to those indicators considered to be relevant for a given situation at a certain time.
According to priori data, imposed criteria or alternatives, the mathematical models of decision making can be used in many ways and they are: identification and selection of best alternatives; sorting alternatives - from the best to the weakest one; clustering - assigning each alternative to a predefined uniform group; and identification of the important features for every possible alternative. For each category there are specific methods which are necessary to be implemented in order to obtain the best analysis.
This paper aims to analyze some models of predictability in the field of decision making concerning regional security ensuring and the roots of this objective are not only evident but dual too, according with the two scientific domains on which the research is based. One the one hand is mathematics which gives us the opportunity of putting together data due to specific relations, and on the other hand is security studies which provides information that are processed and materialized in a result supposed to be the possible evolution of a security matter. It is an attempt of predicting real life through an abstract representation of it.
By using representative data bases, the essence of this research is in fact to compare the probabilistic model and the artificial intelligence techniques one which could be involved in the decision making process. | Keywords
predictability, model, regional security, decision making |
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